The PGA Tour travels to Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida this week for The Players Championship. Commonly refered to as “The 5th Major” The Players boasts the highest purse in golf ($15 million dollars with $2,700,000 going to the winner) and with it brings one of the most competitive fields in golf each year. Since 1982 the tournament was permanently moved to the Pete Dye designed Players Stadium Course, which is a difficult test of golf to say the least, featuring the famous island green on the Par 3 17th. In the 20 tournaments played this century, there has been 19 different champions, with only Tiger Woods winning twice (2001, 2013). Tiger will not participate this week due a back injury. Rory McIlroy is the the defending Champion going into this weeks event. Below we will dive into who might win this week, who will surprise and who represents good value for the $ in DFS formats.
BEST BETS: (Odds courtesy of BetMGM)
Adam Scott. +3300 ($11500 Fanduel). World Golf Rank (WGR) 9th. I like the odds and value on the Aussie here, despite him missing the cut last week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational (API). A winner here in 2004 Scott has also won this year, at the Genesis Invitational. This will be the 19th start on the Stadium Course for the 39 year old and this course suits his eye. He has finished no worse than 12th at the last 4 Players and he has shot par or better the last 13 rounds here. Nothing not to like about those numbers. I like him to be there on Sunday and have a great chance of winning.
Sungjae Im. +2500 ($10400 Fanduel). WGR, 23rd. He may be the hottest player on tour, with a win at The Honda Classic and a 3rd place finish at the API. He missed the cut in his only Players appearance last year, but the 21 year old South Korean has been steadily climbing the world golf rankings since then. A tremendous striker of the golf ball, do not be surprised to see his name all over the leaderboard this weekend.
Bryson Dechambeau. +2200 ($11300 Fanduel). WGR, 13th. Love him or hate him you cannot deny The Scientists play as of late. He leads the PGA in driving distance (321.3) and has been 5th, 2nd and 4th in his last 3 events in 2020. He has also broken par in 7 of his last 8 rounds at TPC Sawgrass. Add that all up and it’s hard to keep him off your list no matter what you think of him.
John Rahm. +1200 ($12000 Fanduel). WGR, 2nd. Posted as 2nd favourite this week (behind Rory McIlroy +685) how can you not like his chances. He has tee’d it up 5 times in 2020 finishing 10th, 2nd, 9th, 17th and 3rd. And his 3 starts before that? 2 wins and a 2nd place finish. He makes his 4th start here and looks to erase last years collapse when he shot 64(!) on Saturday to take the lead, only to let it slip away with a 76 on Sunday. He will cost you in daily fantasy formats, but better to have him and find value elsewhere this week.
Collin Morikawa. +4500 ($10000 Fanduel). WGR 44. If you don’t already know the 23 year old, you will soon enough. He has played 21 events on the PGA tour and he has NEVER missed a cut. That is the longest current streak on tour. He also has 2 top 10 finishes in 2020 including 9th at the API last week. It’s his 1st time at The Player’s Championship, but then again almost everything is the 1st time for someone who turned pro last year.
Henrik Stenson. +7000 ($9900 Fanduel). WGR 32. A winner here in 2009 with a blistering final round 66 where he did not hit a single driver, the 43 year old Swede is a threat to go low every time he tees it up here. Making his 15th appearance he knows his way around TPC Sawgrass with 9 finishes in the top 25. He has only made one start in 2020 (a missed cut at the API) but his start before that in December 2019 was a win at the World Hero Challenge. Worth a go at +7000.
Sergio Garcia. +8000 ($9900 Fanduel). WGR 38. Another former winner (2008) and a player with a tonne of experience here (21st appearance). Hard to imagine his as a “sleeper” but the odds don’t lie. He has only missed the cut twice in 20 starts here and he has a 3rd and two 2nd place finish to go with his win. He hasn’t been on fire in 2020 with only 2 starts (both 37th place finishes) but his last round Feb. 23rd in Mexico was a 66. If he brings that to TPC there is no reason the 40 year old Spaniard can’t win for the 2nd time here.
Brain Harmon. +15000 ($7200 Fanduel). WGR 133. Looking to save a few dollars in daily fantasy or make a samll wager turn into a winfallÉ Look no further than the 5 foor 7 inch American. He missed the cut last week, but has made 10 of 12 cuts on Tour this year. Shot 66-69-71-70 to finish 8th here last year, his 2nd top 10 finish here. He has won 4 times as a Pro, and here’s hoping he makes it 5 this weekend.